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A Farewell to Ice: A Report from the Arctic Paperback – International Edition, October 24, 2017
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- Print length256 pages
- LanguageEnglish
- PublisherPenguin UK
- Publication dateOctober 24, 2017
- Dimensions7.8 x 5.08 x 0.61 inches
- ISBN-10024100943X
- ISBN-13978-0241009437
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- Publisher : Penguin UK (October 24, 2017)
- Language : English
- Paperback : 256 pages
- ISBN-10 : 024100943X
- ISBN-13 : 978-0241009437
- Item Weight : 6.3 ounces
- Dimensions : 7.8 x 5.08 x 0.61 inches
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Dr. Wadhams is a world-renowned expert in his field of Arctic sea ice research. Yet, his humility and scientific integrity shine through on every page of this historic and remarkable work that explains definitively that global warming due to human-caused release of greenhouse gases (principally carbon dioxide and methane) is an inescapable reality based on physical laws that have been well understood for over a century. Using one simple algebraic expression, Dr. Wadhams explains that the response of the planetary climate system to the unprecedented high levels of these greenhouse gases has only just begun and will persist inexorably until an equilibrium state has been reached that will leave much of planet Earth uninhabitable for most species including us. Nowhere has this response been more evident than in the Arctic region that warms at a rate two to three times faster than the rest of the planet.
Dr. Wadhams explains the basic physical principles that underpin climate science, and describes what science knows - and doesn't know - about the global climate system and how it knows it. He also explains how an ice-free Arctic region becomes a net driver of climate change leading to the present torrent of methane release by anaerobic decomposition of shallow-seabed permafrost.that will continue even if humanity could instantly stop all carbon dioxide emissions. Dr. Wadhams also takes the IPCC to task for some flim-flamery, but mostly for being too timid in its estimates of the pace of warming, leading one to believe humanity has more time before it must act to save itself. And, finally, he implores humanity to act swiftly, decisively and persistently to address this problem of human-caused global climate disruption that has already begun and whose effects will become increasingly apparent (as if 2017 were not bad enough) - even to the most ideologically seduced, religiously deluded, politically bribed, or grossly misinformed (read: Dittohead) climate science deniers among us.
We, who have benefited immeasurably from the inherited scientific achievements compounded over the past two centuries in myriad disciplines, would do well to pay attention to the conclusions of this clearly written, concise and approachable book. Looking around, I see a lot of too-little-too-late attempts to nibble around the edges of this existential crisis (read: pseudo-solutions that will affect neither global warming nor corporate profits). When you see the first Direct Air Capture technologies designed to literally suck well over the 35 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide that humanity mindlessly dumps into the atmosphere every year being deployed on a world-wide scale, you will know humanity is taking this threat seriously. And, not before.
(On a side note, being the first human deca-billionaire on Mars is jolly good fun and all that, but our deca-billionaire class will be venerated even more for abandoning these joy rides for oligarchs, plutocrats and empty space suits, and redirecting their talents and resources developing Direct Air Capture technologies. Yes, Mr. Bezos and Mr. Musk: I'm talking to you both.)
Should be required reading for each citizen of planet Earth. Praise to Professor Wadhams for writing with honesty!
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I am concern that he is right, because surely, he knows more than myself. But I hope he is wrong in how fast the ASI is going to disappear. I expect that the melt of Greenland, land ice and permafrost in general, will slow down the fast melt that ASI had on the last decades.
A book that you must read, if you are concern on Anthropogenic global warming.
This is an excellent book that should be considered a must-have-read on the topics.
The book covers the following topics:
First, the polar regions (with emphasis on the Arctic) with their specific features of the atmosphere and the ocean separated by a thin layer of sea ice floating at the surface of the ocean - at least in winter time, so far.
Second, an overview of the global climate system and its physics, explaining that the greenhouse effect is not a debatable hypothesis but an inevitable consequence of rock-solid physical laws. Some pages require knowledge of physics, although Peter Wadhams does not use more than one formula in his whole book. However, he always summarizes the results in plain language such that readers with less scientific background can catch up, and the structure of the book is generally such that even after skipping some pages or a chapter, one may continue reading without serious difficulties.
Third, a review on the dramatic changes that have taken place in the climate of the Arctic, and their consequences for the adjacent regions and the world. Peter Wadhams points out that the measured changes, in particular those observed in the recent 10 or 20 years, are a lot more dramatic than covered in most media, and that the expected consequences, both during the next decade as well as in the long term, are alarming and frightening. Extraordinary claims need extraordinary proofs, and Peter Wadhams provides a lot of scientific reasons based on the physics why the described effects are a consequence of the mechanisms that govern the climate system. He leaves no space for excuses of climate change deniers.
Fourth, Peter Wadhams reviews how much a reduction in climate-affecting gases could stop or reduce the ongoing drastic changes in the climate system. The result is bleak: The world as a whole has not reduced the immisions of climate-relevant gases, instead it is continuing to increase the immissions, or at best trying to keep them at the current level. This is by far not enough to stop the climate changes. Even if the immissions would be drastically reduced within a short time frame of only a few years, the immissions of the past that are already in the atmosphere will continue to change the climate for several decades or longer. Essentially, Wadhams states that it is too late for measures to stop the climate change by reducing the immissions.
Fifth, Peter Wadhams discusses some ideas what could be done in this situation. This part of the book is the one that may draw the most discussions, critics and questions. But I consider it a very honorable attempt to address this theme despite the difficulties. If the effects of the climate change will become so drastic in the next decades that they become unbearable for the population in some regions, and if reducing climate gas immissions is no viable way to change this course significantly, Peter Wadhams presents the idea that the green house gases should be actively removed from the atmosphere, and he reviews some techniques that may be somewhat promising for achieving this goal. But ultimately, the lesson learned is that no obvious way to mitigate the effects of climate change is readily available, and Peter Wadhams conclusion is that much more effort should be spent on research in this field, addressing one of the most urgent questions of mankind that needs to be solved soon.
I was lucky enough to know Peter Wadhams personally in the 1990s while working as a climate research scientist. While I do not share all of his ideas presented in the last section of his book (for example, Peter Wadhams favors the use of nuclear energy), I have the utmost respect for him putting this book on the table that presents many very well-reasoned arguments on the physics of the global climate system, and for making a very serious contribution to the debate. I remember that in the 1990s several physical feedback loops that could drastically accelerate the warming in particular in the Arctic were known in principle, as a theory, but it was not known how long it would take for them to realize to a measurable degree, how large the effect would be, and if even if they would be observed at all because they could be overridden by some other, yet-to-be-known effects in the climate system that work in the opposite direction. Peter Wadhams now details that the observations show that these effects are real and measurable now, and that there are many feedbacks that push the Arctic into a vicious circle of warming with very little effects working in the opposite direction. The nightmares that we imagined 25 years ago are becoming true now. In April 2018, another book on this subject will be published, written by Mark Serreze, Director of the National Snow and Ice Data Center, Boulder, USA: "Brave New Arctic: The Untold Story of the Melting North".
Even if only half of the arguments and ideas of Peter Wadhams book were true (and I believe he is right in much more parts), this book is a very important contribution to addressing the climate system and its changes from a scientific base.
The real value of this book lies in the fact that Wadhams, like climate scientist David Wasdell, is an independent thinker and commentator. Although he is tied to a major university, he is not afraid to blast the IPCC for its "shameful" and "misleading" analysis, which massively understates the real threat faced by our species and the biosphere. In particular, he decries the IPCC's adoption of a "consensus" view on the disappearance of Arctic ice. This disappearance could well result in a catastrophic burst of methane from the hydrates lying in the region's shallow and rapidly warming seas. He notes that, "This consensus involves consciously ignoring the observational data in favour of accepting models that have already shown themselves to be false. This is a serious charge to make against a body for which most scientists have great respect, but it is justified." (p. 88)
Wadhams repeatedly states that the fundamental requirement for human survival is to rapidly reduce the stock of CO2 in the atmosphere. He therefore proposes a "Manhattan Project" to develop the technology for direct air capture (DAC) of CO2. For those who bristle at the mention of such techniques, he offers the following balanced perspective: "We have destroyed our planet's life support system by mindless development and misuse of technology. A mindful development of technology, first for geoengineering, then for carbon removal, is now necessary to save us. It is the most serious and important activity in which the human race can now be involved, and it must begin immediately." (p. 193)
For those who want the horrifying truth rather than the IPCC's distortions, I highly recommend this book in conjunction with David Wasdell's extraordinary document, "Climate Dynamics: Facing the Harsh Realities of Now". The latter is especially useful for those seeking a realistic appraisal of last year's Paris climate agreement ("... a course of action that [guarantees] catastrophic climate change").